PQC: Personally I’ve predicted that China would back down and give in even though it can stand up to the USA successfully. One of the special character of Asian values is they are indifferent to the powerless but spineless to the powerful. Remember that before China, there was Japan, then Sth Korea rose up and bend their knees!
As I have analyzed that China is a very potential country. China has everything more than Russia, more than India to be or rather to create its own world in a true autarky state. China has its own land mass, natural resources, population with talents and skills.
But Alas, the narrow traditional Asian mindset has held them back!
There are something fucked up in the mindset of people. Consider this reality:
For years, since I began to be interested in and read world affairs first in French then later in English, I have noticed that the Arab/Muslim people, they hate each other more than their common enemies, namely the Yanks and the Jews. They are always ready to cut each other throat without second thought regardless of whatever the cost . And very strangely enough, when it comes to the Jews, they always hesitate to retaliate. Why? I don’t know. Fear of death? No, they have killed each other in millions. They do fear the Jews, but fear of what?
Ever since the 6 day War with the Jews in 1967, the Jews have constantly humiliated and bullied them with military attack and and assassinations right inside Muslim own territories without any serious or meaningful retaliation, except the Hezbollah daring and fearless resistance in 2006 after some how having managed to cast away “the fear of the Jews!”
Don’t take me wrong. I do not intend to belittle anyone. I just state the facts and try to fathom them. When it comes to the “Fear of the Jews”, it gets much much worse if not the worst in the Western world!
From the arse end of the world down south New Zealand, Australia up to the end of the north Russia, the Jews are not only feared but extremely protected by the very White Christians whom the Jews not only despise, but whose religion, Christianity, is treated with contempt and dishonor by the Jews. Yet, the Jews have controlled almost every vital aspect of Western society. Jews overwhelmingly occupy position of political power and virtually have total control of the communication network and education system.
In the today West, one can only be “successful” if one knows how to perform Jewish ass-kissing or at least refrain from saying anything about the Jews unless it’s a praising! In the today West, one can criticize, challenge, everything, everyone… except the Jews. If one dares “touch” on the Jews, one’s life is done even after series of crawling apologies, unless one is a very special Jew such as Ron Unz. Whereas the Jews virtually can say anything to anyone without any consequences. At least, Muslim people still have a “freedom of speech” on the Jews and many PC shits in their own countries, which the white Christians in the West have lost completely!
Back to the Asians, just like the Arab Muslims, Asian hate and suspect one another more than anyone else. Japan, Korea, China, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, India, Pakistan… these countries can never form a close relationship such as the EU much less like the “Five Eyes”.
Imagine if China (+Taiwan), India (forget Japan and Korea) somehow manage to establish a special long term relationship with strong cooperation, such combination of landmass, natural resource, a population of 3 billions with brain power and counting would definitely change the West attitude, and absolutely the world in a very positive direction. Unfortunately, given the so-called fucking Asian values and traditional shit, this would never happen!
Imagine somehow China, India, and Russia (again forget Japan and Korea) formed a “Les Trois Mousquetaires“, the Yanks would come back to their sense and the Jews would abandon their Talmudic dream all together. Sigh…poor me! It’s just a wishful thinking of mine! Traditional values, religious beliefs, nationalism would never allow this to happen!
Yes, I know, I know, I know someone told you that Asians always think in long term … but Asians never think big :-)!
Not Just a Trade War, But a Shooting War With China
by Doug Casey
The Chinese came from nothing; only 40 years ago, they had nothing but a billion impoverished peasants. No money. No technology. No power. Today, they’re on par with the United States. But, if this trend continues – which it will – their economy will be triple the size of the US economy in 20 years.
Not just a trade war, but a shooting war with the Chinese seems inevitable. Because when tensions build up between states they eventually fight with each other. China is the major rising power. It’s got four times the US population, it’s soon going to be more economically powerful, and it’s going to reach military parity. It’s of a different culture than the US. The US government may figure it’s best to take them out while the balance still favors them. It’s a bit like the situation was with the USSR in the ’80s. They could see they were going into decline, and some Soviet generals figured it was “now or never” for a successful war. Fortunately they collapsed first.
The Chinese don’t like seeing US aircraft carriers off their coast any more than we would like to see Chinese aircraft carriers in the Gulf of Mexico or off Santa Catalina Island.
The last thing that we need is a war with the Chinese. But if something that’s been called the Thucydides Trap is valid – and I think it is – then it’s highly likely. It refers to the Peloponnesian War between Athens and Sparta, at the end of 5th century BC. The Trap is sprung when a reigning power strikes out at the advancing power while they still have a chance of winning.
The American military thinks that a shooting war is inevitable. And it probably is. Why? Well, 5,000 years of history teaches us that it’s better to start a war when you’re more powerful than your enemy rather than wait until they’re more powerful than you. It’s always been this way. The Golden Rule of statecraft is: Do unto others – but do it first. It’s a very dangerous situation.
The US may do something stupid, like fabricate an incident, and launch a preemptive strike against China. Or perhaps things just get out of control, as they did in World War I.
It would make about as much sense as the Peloponnesian War, or World War I. But these things can take on a life of their own.
The wars between European powers were bad enough. But when the US fought Japan it actually turned into a race war. What happened in the Pacific was far uglier than what happened in Europe. There were basically no prisoners taken.
The next big war – as opposed to a sport war, like those in the Middle East – is likely to be with China. That could make World War II look trivial by comparison.
The Next Financial Crisis Will Be “The Big One”
Nobody has a crystal ball, but I think you can see the dominos lining up. Will this be the big one, or will it just be another recession – an inconvenience, followed by even bigger bubbles? It’s a question of odds. And the more dominos that lineup – the political, economic, social, demographic, military, and cultural dominos – the more logical that this next one is going to be much bigger than what happened in 2008.
That’s why I use the analogy of 2007-2010 being the leading edge of this hurricane. We’ve had a very big eye of the storm because of absolutely massive money printing by central banks all over the world. It’s had the effect of throwing oil on the water.
When we go into the trailing edge of this hurricane, it’s going to be much worse, much different, and much longer lasting than the unpleasantness of 2007-2010. Why? Because that was caused by inflation and debt. We’ve had vastly more of that over the last decade to paper over the problems. I think we’re re-entering the hurricane now.
But there’s always some good news. Here the good news is that most of the real wealth in the world – skills, technologies, buildings, things of that nature – won’t disappear just because the economy collapses. Most of the real wealth will still be here. It’s just going to change ownership.
I look forward to moments of crisis – assuming that the system itself is maintained in more or less its present form. In other words, it’s possible to look forward to a financial crisis, if you can position yourself to weather it. Financial crises come and go. It’s possible to position yourself to profit from a financial crisis.
I’m not, however, looking forward to an economic crisis, or a political crisis. Those can have major consequences. And I’m absolutely not looking forward to a cultural crisis, which is by far the most serious kind. Unfortunately, that is what we’re facing at this point.
Let’s just hope that what’s coming this time, over the next few years, is limited to a financial crisis. But I don’t expect that’s the case. I think it’s going to be economic, political, and cultural as well.