Will Le Pen be put to the Sword?
Of course Marine Le Pen is a rather classier lady than Hillary Clinton, no offense intended. It’s unlikely, if she loses, that she will be throwing anything at a TV set, let alone champagne. They don’t throw champagne away in France, well not good champagne anyway.
The odds are stacked against Marine. Her support base is fairly narrow and the entire French media and pro-EU political establishment is arrayed against her. Socialist, communist and soft right votes will tend to go to the EU-loving centrist candidate, Macron. If you’ve never heard of him, don’t worry. There’s no reason why you should have. He’s a colorless nonentity, no offense intended, chosen precisely because nobody knew he was and he hadn’t managed to offend anybody in his brief and undistinguished political career.
I know he was French finance minister, but how many people could name the current French finance minister? I’d have to Google it. France is in the euro, so all key economic decisions are taken in Frankfurt anyway.
The Fifth Republic
The key to understanding the Fifth Republic is that it is essentially a Vichyist construct. Please don’t remind me that De Gaulle was Free French. He was, but he was also blackmailed by the Abwehr and in turn the DVD over his sexuality (he was gay). After the Allies liberated Paris in 1944, only the German military withdrew. The Abwehr stayed behind.
Our community partner Jerry was keen to regain control of Paris. Since the German army had been comprehensively beaten, the only way to do that was by bribery, blackmail, terrorism and assassination, i.e. the usual Hun methods. Jerry sponsored a violent campaign of terrorism in Algeria and cut a deal with De Gaulle. In return for being installed in power he would support French membership of the EEC and govern France, in effect as a German puppet.
Unfortunately for Jerry we found out about De Gaulle’s homosexuality and dealings with the Abwehr – we had never entirely entrusted ‘mon general’. We were able to leverage this intelligence into two very handy vetoes of the applications to join the EEC made by two German assets, Harold Macmillan and Harold Wilson, in each case supported by the Cabinet Office, then under firm German control.
Once De Gaulle was no longer of any use to the Jerries they dumped him, in 1968, organising a few riots in Paris. Jerry knows how to organise a riot. De Gaulle’s successor, Pompidou, was a former Vichyist and a German asset, who of course tried to pretend that he had been Free French during the war.
The electoral system of the Fifth Republic is designed to favour centrists. The Jerries love centrists – they tend to be unprincipled, they’re cheap and they can pull in votes from the soft right and the soft left. Remember it was the Zentrum (Center Party) which delivered key votes in the Reichstag for our community partners the Nazis.
The DVD has a black operation in Paris, just at it has in London. The Jerries never voluntarily shut down their intelligence network in any country they occupy. This black agency co-ordinates terror attacks and assassination attempts on patriotic French politicians.
The Jerries are afraid of Marine Le Pen and have good reason to be. The sad reality is that the Hun knocked the stuffing out of the French at Verdun, ably assisted by their man General Pétain, who agreed to sacrifice French troops by the hundreds of thousands. The seeds of the French collapse in 1940 were sown 23 years before. Unlike the French political and bureaucratic establishment, however, Marine Le Pen has spirit.
Sadly, despite the discreet support of President Trump, my prediction is that Macron will win. He simply has too much support. The polls are saying that it’s a done deal, 60:40. It may be a bit tighter than that – no polling organisation in the Western world is capable of objectively assessing support for conservative causes or candidates, but the errors are usually of the order of 4-5%.
I can see at least half of Fillon’s voters backing Marine. Conventional wisdom says only a third, but that may ignore the effect of the recent wave of German-backed Islamist terrorist attacks in France. Marine might get 45%.
I do however predict her winning in 2022, always assuming that the Jerries don’t stage a re-run of November 1963 and assassinate her first. She will need careful guarding between now and then.
Macron will govern France in the German, not the French, interest. He won’t even try to solve France’s problems, let alone actually solve them. In five years’ time Macron will no longer be a fresh face, just another failed, establishment politician. Thankfully his somewhat artificial party is unlikely to win a majority in the National Assembly next Sunday.
The EU Summit
As I predicted, the Brexit negotiations have turned into a farce. They’re over before they’ve even begun. The EU27 have rubber-stamped Donald Tusk’s recommendations, which were doubtless dictated to him by Angela Merkel. The EU will demand an exit fee before discussing tariff-free access to the so-called single market, which we don’t want anyway, given our massive trade deficit with the EU27.
The media are talking nonsense, if that’s not a tautology, about the amounts Britain ‘owes’ the EU. We owe the EU nothing, apart from our contribution to the EU budget between now and March 2019 when we finally leave.
There is no provision for exit fees in Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union. This can probably be put down to German arrogance. They were so sure of their control over EU member states, they never really thought that Article 50 would ever be used. Right up to the count they thought that they had successfully murdered their way to victory in last year’s referendum by assassinating Jo Cox. Victory was a sweet moment over opponents willing to drench themselves in the blood of a harmless, innocent Labour MP.
Article 50 is sloppily drafted, like much of EU law, but there is no doubt that a departing member state does not owe a penny to those that remain. EU pensions are an EU responsibility, e.g. The EU27 accept this, which is why they’re demanding an exorbitant sum as the price of tariff-free access to the single market, which they’re probably not willing to offer anyway without uncontrolled labor dumping on the UK. They want us to stump up the cash first, against a non-binding commitment to agree tariff-free access, which will be worth about as much as our community partner Adolf Hitler’s promise not to invade Poland.
This is all good news. The very last thing the UK wants or needs is a deal with the EU. They wouldn’t agree to any deal which was fair to Britain. The important thing is that we’ve served the Article 50 notice. We don’t need the agreement of the EU27 to leave – we’re off. These negotiations are about a possible post-departure deal.
German assets in Washington are doing their best to block the Anglo-American free trade deal. I still think it will happen, but it will take some time, given Germany’s evident influence over the Trump Administration’s foreign policy.
Sergeant Alexander Blackman RM
I refrained from commenting further on Sgt Blackman’s case lest I prejudice his appeal. I am delighted that he has now been released from prison, but I am not buying the substituted manslaughter verdict. Apart from anything else, the manslaughter conviction means that he won’t be able to own a firearm for at least five years, which is ridiculous.
Police protection in this country is largely a joke, as Theresa May saw when the Metropolitan Police let a terrorist into the Palace of Westminster in the hope that he would assassinate her. Most police forces are controlled by the Cabinet Office and would be unwilling or unable to offer any meaningful protection to Sgt Blackman. No Second Amendment rights here, let alone an NRA!
I should recap, for those unfamiliar with the case. Sgt Blackman, outrageously, was prosecuted by the Cabinet-Office controlled Service Prosecuting Authority, a pointless quango forced on us by the anti-British European Court of Human Rights, for the non-offense of slotting a badly wounded Taliban terrorist in Afghanistan.
The terrorist in question was part of a cell which had very properly been strafed by an Apache helicopter gunship. At no stage was an autopsy ever performed on this muppet. There are two major legal problems with causation for culpable homicide:
(1) There was no medical evidence tending to establish that the said terrorist was still clinging on to life when Sgt Blackman shot him. He might have been, but the prosecution had to prove that the round that Sgt Blackman fired accelerated his death, and
(2) Even if he was still alive the unlawful enemy combatant had been hit with cannon fire. Putting the matter at its lowest, he had been fatally wounded. Humanely dispatching mortally wounded enemy combatants, whether lawful or unlawful, is both morally and legally justified and in accordance with the honorable traditions of men at arms. Whatever may be said at the time, it is an act of mercy. Those arguing otherwise are welcome to try dying in agony and see how they feel about a quick bullet instead.
The Laws of War do not oblige you to be nice to the enemy you are dispatching, not least if he or she is an unlawful combatant who has been waging war outside the Laws. This particular terrorist seems to have been a murderous piece of filth, no offense intended, who richly deserved to die. Doubtless he had raped and murdered in the brutal cause to which he had dedicated himself. He was a Taliban terrorist after all, not a doctor with MSF.
The British legal system has failed Sgt Blackman, the Royal Marines and Western Civilization. Sgt Blackman put his life on the line to free Afghanistan from tyranny and barbarism. The least we owe him is to clear his name. He should be granted a Royal Pardon, restored to the ranks and promoted. I’m not saying that he should have been given a medal for slotting this particular terrorist in these particular circumstances, if he did in fact slot him, but he should not have been condemned, let alone prosecuted.
The Service Prosecuting Authority should be abolished and the old system restored. The learned trial judge, with great respect, should be shuffled off to a quiet county court somewhere, preferably in the North, or sent out to
New South Wales.
So who froze the rabbit?
The fate of Simon the big bunny has made headlines across the English-speaking world. The Chinese aren’t concerned of course, since he wasn’t a panda.
Not content with dragging elderly doctors off their aircraft in order to make them miss their appointments, United Airlines has now taken to killing fluffy bunnies. What on earth are they on?
If they were going to freeze a bunny to death, couldn’t they have chosen a skinny one? Instead they had to choose the fluffiest, cutest bunny they could find, and a British one at that. No offense, but they might have been better off freezing poor old Dr Dao to death and dragging Simon off the plane unconscious.
I’m glad my frequent flyer miles with United have expired! Next internal flight I take in the States will be on American. There is no sign, yet, that the DVD were involved, although knocking off fluffy bunnies would be just their style.
Secret Societies – The German DVD
WHERE’S THE EVIDENCE?
This issue is bound to be raised when my forthcoming intelligence history of the DVD, Spyhunter, is published.
The rumour mill suggests it has thrown the British Cabinet Office into shock – it was apparently they who were behind the seizure on April 20th of my working papers, including several weeks worth of revisions, which had not been backed up offshore (rats!).
Since it exposes the first five Cabinet Secretaries starting with Maurice Hankey (aka ‘Hankey-Panky’) as German assets I am not surprised.
For those who are unaware the creation of the Cabinet Office was decided upon in Berlin, the Hun’s concentration of power strategy being implemented by their man David Lloyd George (not his real name – he added ‘Lloyd’ for effect).
He was also the man who betrayed the British Army’s great 1916 Somme Offensive to the Hun, throwing away thousands of Allied lives.
At the moment Whitehall and Thames Valley Police (our police in Britain are subject to tight central control) are dreaming up excuses for hanging onto my papers in a pathetic attempt to delay publication. The pre-publication seizure of the book is unlikely to harm sales.
The purpose of this series of articles is to give a brief summary of the DVD’s formation. I have been reminded that not every visitor to this site is in the Allied Intelligence Community (INTELCOM) and so this is aimed at the lay reader as well.
As you can see from some of the comments on other articles folk outside INTELCOM can get pretty annoyed when they’re not given the evidence. There is nothing I can do about that, I am afraid. I don’t make the rules.
There are five very good reasons and a couple of bad ones why raw intelligence data is rarely distributed outside of INTELCOM. Firstly it often requires expert interpretation.
Take the SATINT (Satellite Intelligence) of the exfiltration of the P700 warhead Gordon Duff and I have talked about out of the UK on the night of April 20th/21st.
This will stay firmly inside NSA and GCHQ. I understand it consists of both low-light electro-optical and infra-red imagery. Low-light can give good images but they usually need computer enhancement.
Infra-red imagery can be pretty weird, and a sub low in the water on a dark night with infra-red tiling to keep the heat signature down in the hot compartments doesn’t give you much to go on, unless you know what you’re looking for.
The raw imagery would not make such sense to someone not used to examining SATINT. I am not a SATINT interpretation expert by the way, although I am not unused to reviewing satellite imagery.
Secondly distribution can entail blowing capabilities. SATINT is a case in point. The basic capabilities are well known – the tricky bit is the software used in the enhancement process. That is highly proprietary.
The Bad Guys, aka the DVD, like to think they know everything but we’ve got a few tricks up our sleeve. Not all the software is out of a box. Now INTELCOM knows about the DVD we are able to blow smoke up them. It keeps them guessing, and it’s fun.
Thirdly with HUMINT or Human Intelligence, you are dealing with real live people, or, in the case of those whose identities are blown by too free a distribution of intel, ex-real live people, ie. dead ones.
It is not just a simple process of blacking out names – the tiniest of threads can be unravelled by an expert counter-intelligence officer.
I am an intelligence analyst, for several years an intelligence academic (although I have concentrated in the last 18 months on writing Spyhunter) and now an intelligence author. I am not a spook but I have done my share of counter-intel spookery.
If I may be forgiven an anecdote my exposure of Sir Edward Heath as a German agent (he was recruited by the Abwehr in 1937 at Balliol College and was transferred to the DVD in 1945) started out with what must have seemed to his gay lover and fellow German spy Madron Seligman (it is not a crime to be gay, at least now – my objection was to their treason, a capital offence when they committed it between 1939 and 1945) to be a small, white lie.
He had been warned about me – we were opponents in the 1989 European Parliament election and his DVD controller had a profile on me. He was anxious to hide the fact that he and Heath crossed the German lines in August 1939 just prior to the German invasion of Poland, so he moved the ‘camping trip’ back a year, to the summer of 1938.
The change in date was significant. With von Bock’s Army Group North massed for the invasion there was no way a couple of gay British students were going to be permitted to transit General von Kuchler’s 3rd Army staging areas unless they had official sanction, in this case from Canaris himself.
Generally speaking, as I have suggested in Spyhunter, the Third Reich did not go out of its way to attract the pink pound.
Gay visitors sharing tents were not encouraged in Nazi Germany. When I became aware some years later that Madron (he was quite a nice German spy by the way) had lied it got me thinking.
The conventional view was that Heath worked for the Allies in World War II and only betrayed Britain in 1972, when he took us into the EEC, on terms dictated by Germany.
Mid-life treason is rare by the way – high-level traitors usually start in their late teens or early twenties. Eventually Jerry admitted they had recruited Heath, albeit reluctantly and off the record.
Very few legends or cover-stories can survive sustained counter-intelligence investigation – the idea is to deter inquiries. Edward Heath’s flimsy claims to be a patriot were never going to survive a detailed scrutiny of his wartime activities.
Fourthly non-intel experts have an excellent chance of screwing up the interpretation. It is much better to distribute refined product.
Iraq was a classic – thousands of self-appointed armchair intel experts, many in the media, convinced themselves that the absence, by and large, of WMDs in Iraq after the invasion equated to their absence before. They made the age-old error of treating absence of evidence as evidence of absence (the WMDs mostly went to Syria by the way).
Fifthly once you release the raw data you lose control. You never know where you might end up. You might even start a small war. No serious intelligence chief is going to be happy about raw data going walkies out of the building.
The two bad reasons are bureaucratic inertia and penetration. Intel ‘crats can be as intellectually lazy as any other type of trouser polisher. Releasing raw data requires a decision. Doing nothing is much easier.
Penetration is a huge problem – so far as we know every overt British and US agency is penetrated.
Although you guys have some, there’s bound to be one the DVD have missed (somebody ‘close to the CIA’ once told me they stopped counting at 300 US intel units of one sort or another and that’s not counting local law enforcement intelligence operations).
The US and British covert agencies have less of a problem, but they’re only off the radar so far as the media and oversight committees are concerned, not the DVD.
Most overt agencies will have a DVD asset somewhere in the chain of command blocking release of data which might be harmful to Germany, in fact it’s so bad proposing data release works a bit like a barium meal.
It flags up bits which need a second look. Forget release of SATINT overheads of the DVD’s HQ at Dachau – it ain’t going to happen.
By Michael Shrimpton for Veterans Today — May 30, 2012
This is a hot intel topic and one which has provoked a certain amount of debate within the Intelligence Community (INTELCOM). That is partly because much of the material, including SATINT of the agency’s HQ in Dachau Germany (about a klick from the old concentration camp, a former DVD facility) has been classified at too high a level in this author’s humble opinion.
DVD stands for Deutsches Verteidigungs Dienst, or German Defense Service. It was set up by German spymaster Admiral Wilhelm Canaris in 1943/4, after he appreciated that Germany was going to lose the war. He and his deputy, General Leutnant Erwin von Lahousen, a serious Kraut, were determined that Germany would win the peace, which to date she has done. They started moving files, gold, officers and other stuff down to Dachau from Berlin as early as the fall of 1943. Nazis were not invited. The DVD are not and never have been Nazi – these were the boys who installed the Nazis, and they were a lot smarter. Your average Nazi was pretty dumb, no smarter than your average Democrat.
The DVD arranged to extend the war for 6 months, by pushing Operation Market Garden, the abortive attempt to cross the Rhine and outflank the Krauts. They used assets in the British Army to hold up the advance of XXX Corps on Arnhem and assets in the Air Ministry to suppress photo-intel of the SS Panzer Division they moved in to the Arnhem area, ie our guys were ambushed. The extra time was needed to move gold, cash and folk out of Germany into Argentina and elsewhere, using a covert fleet of modified Type XXI U-Boats, used for cargo work (they were never put through the books of the Kriegsmarine). Three at least of that fleet are still in business, 67 years later, refitted with Air Independent Propulsion and new diesels. If that sounds old remember the Big E – great ship – is still going strong more than 50 years after she was commissioned, indeed her proposed decommissioning is premature.
Canaris faked his death in ’45 – he has two graves. As I reveal in my forthcoming history of the DVD, Spyhunter, there is even a post-war photo of Canaris, in the biography by one of his more loyal lieutenants, one Colonel Whiting, of the OSS and DVD, allegedly taken in 1944 (t wasn’t). His head of air intelligence was General Major Adolfo Galland, who has two interesting gaps in his resume, covering the Korean War and the Vietnam War. The ‘Chinese’ Mig-15s in Korea (a German design by the way) never flew over South Korea and always returned north of the Yalu because most of their pilots were German.
Dolfo repeated the same trick in Vietnam. You won’t find many genuine North Vietnamese air aces signing prints of their Mig-21s – most of the Mig 21 pilots over ‘Nam were Luftwaffe, ie West German, with some East Germans as well. There was no Cold War split in German intelligence – the DVD ran both the West German BND (Gehlen was DVD) and the Stasi, their key man in East Berlin being the author’s old ‘friend’ (strictly an enemy, but the old boy and he got on well) General Oberst Markus Wolf.
It is only in recent years that the last senior Luftwaffe officers with operational experience in ‘Nam have retired. Many of them were trained by the USAF, eg in Texas, in American air combat tactics, a gross deception by the Germans, who were of course very familiar with the capabilities of the F-4. The author once ‘congratulated’ a German air force general at a drinkies on shooting down 4 B-52s over Hanoi – the poor guy had nowhere to go. Of course the author would have much preferred it had the general had been shot down, but if you want your Hun to cough you have to be nice to him. The author didn’t get intel out of Markus Wolf by being offensive – and you had to get up pretty early in the morning if you wanted something out of Markus. He was treated badly by his own people by the way, one reason why we know so much about them. They can’t stop double-crossing their own – your Jerry will always sacrifice another Jerry for the Fatherland.
The DVD control most of the world’s cocaine and heroin trade, all the major paedophile rings and the COREA Group. They have a UK operation, known as GO2, inspiration for Ian Fleming’s fictional ‘OO’ section. The Bilderberg group and Trilateral Commission are DVD front organisations, although most of their members are unaware of that – you have to get through to the hard, inner core before you get the intelligence connection. Nice Trilats like Judge Bill Webster (hi Bill!) are nothing whatsoever to do with the DVD. The DEA boys south of the border will occasionally encounter the Krauts who control the cartels, but they usually stay pretty deep.
Their political assets are legion, one reason the US lost the Vietnam War and the UK fouled up so badly over the IRA. They specialise in talent-spotting and blackmailing future leaders. Several US Presidents have been close to the DVD, Eisenhower being a prominent example. Kennedy wasn’t, which is why he became an ex-President, sadly. If you know that Allen ‘von’ Dulles and Richard ‘von’ Helms were DVD it’s a lot easier to make sense of that operation. In Britain Macmillan, Wilson and Heath were all DVD assets, hence their enthusiasm for the UK joining the EU, aka the German Sphere of Influence. The bad guys are still in business, in a big way. The agency seems to have about 10,000 people and its HQ complex is quite large, mostly underground.
Michael Shrimpton was born on 9th March 1957 in the RAF Hospital, Ely, in Cambridgeshire, the son of an RAF fighter pilot and a former RAF nursing sister. Brought up in Australia, where his family emigrated after his father took up a second career as an Air Traffic Controller, Michael returned to England to study law in 1978.
He graduated with honours from the University of Wales in 1981 and was elected President of the Union of University College Cardiff the same year. He was called to the Bar by Gray’s Inn in 1983. Whilst at university he joined the RAFVR’s University of Wales Air Squadron, flying first solo in 1979 on the Bulldog T Mk. 1.
Originally a member of the Labour Party and a Parliamentary Candidate in 1987 he defected to the Tory Party on the issue of Europe in 1997. He has always been opposed to UK membership of the EU.
In 1999/2000 he represented the late General Pinochet in successful negotiations in Washington with inter alia the late Lt-Gen Vernon Walters, formerly Deputy Director of the CIA, ensuring the general’s return to Chile. After that he was increasingly drawn into the intelligence world, representing intelligence officers and providing analysis to governments and intelligence agencies.
After 9-11 he appeared on specialist counter-terrorism panels in Washington and LA with former general and flag officers. His analysis on the true pilot training of the 9-11 pilots has never been seriously challenged within INTELCOM. He assisted both Joint Congressional Inquiry into 9-11 and met with a member of the 9-11 Commission in Washington.
Michael has briefed staffers on the House Foreign Relations Committee and the Senate Intelligence Committee. He was a frequent visitor to the Pentagon in the Bush-Cheney years. He was a speaker at the inaugural Intelligence Conference (Intelcon) in 2005 and the Intelligence Summit in 2006, after which he was flown out to the USS Enterprise at sea by the US Navy, as part of their Distinguished Visitor Program. He is one of comparatively few British civilians to have completed a carrier landing and catapult take-off cycle from a US nuclear-powered aircraft carrier.
In 2006 he was appointed to the Adjunct Faculty of the American Military University, where he taught on the Masters in Strategic Intelligence Program. He has been a sometime member of the Royal United Services Institute, the Military Commentators Circle, the International Institute of Strategic Studies and Chatham House. He has published in the national security field and in 2010 took an 18 month sabbatical to write his ground-breaking intelligence text Spyhunter.
He has a wide range of defence and intelligence contacts. Although mostly concerned with intelligence analysis, teaching and writing Michael has popped up in the occasional hotspot, such as the West Bank, the Golan Heights and Israeli-Lebanese frontier. He has travelled widely, including Eastern Europe and has visited over 35 US states, including Alaska.